Tieusoros

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EU 24/11/2015

4:47 PM |

CONTEXT: good signal daily bar for bull yesterday
-Bar 47 : two bars reversal short signal . Context is double top but it is counter and no clear wave so wait
-Bar 50 :  good bar short signal with long tail and bear body. This is 2nd short signal, maybe top of range, smallstop but it is better entry than 1st and not make lower low.Study this case
-Bar 65: large doji long signal bar but overlap. Context is range trading,  not reach bottom of range, ABC pattern but not clear wave C so wait
-Bar 71: long signal bar but overlap .Context is range trading, near bottom of range, ABC pattern but not clear wave C , smalstop, double bottom so buy above bar 71
- Bar 81: good long signal bar with long tail but bear body. Context is WXY pattern, FE 161.8% WXY, FE 100% AC ( of Y), climaxe but it is not clear wave so buy above bar 81  
-Bar 102: Good doji long signal bar. Context is range trading, near bottom of range, ABC pattern and smallstop so buy above bar 102.

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EU 23/11/2015

4:27 PM |

CONTEXT: Strong bear with all MA in down direction and not touch any targets so always in short

- Bar 34: Good short signal bar with long tail but some overlap. Context is strong bear with all time frame MA in down direction and not touch any target of ABC pattern , break out test but not clear ABC, small DB so short be low bar 34
- Bar 37: two bar reversal short signal but overlap. Context is strong bear with all time frame MA in down direction and not touch any target of ABC pattern , break out test, double top, ABC pattern but Triple bottom so short be low bar 37
- Bar 41: short signal bar . Context is strong bear with all time frame MA in down direction and not touch any target of ABC pattern , break out test, double top, ABC pattern, L2 in wave C so short be low bar 41

CONTEXT: Strong bear with all MA in down direction but touch targer FE 100% chart 1H and trigger good long signal char 1H so bull may return in short term, need strong setup to short again 

-Bar 67: two bars reversal short signal but overlap. Context is ABC pullback to FB 38.2, top of range, same direction big trend but  widestop so wait

CONTEXT: Weak bull in chart 1H with small bull bar, tail so trade like range trading  

-Bar 122 : good short signal bar with long tail and bear body. Context is ABC pattern, FB 100% but it is still counter, widestop and not clear 5 wave in C so wait
-Bar 130: 2nd short entry but better than 1st entry. Context is ABC pattern, FB 100% but it is still counter in C . Study this case
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EU 20/11/2015

5:06 PM |

CONTEXT:  WEAK BULL IN HIGHER TIMEFRAME

-Bar 34 : small doji long signal bar. Context is maybe bottom of range, fail break out , ABC pattern and small stop but it is counter, not clear wave so long above bar 34 ( This case it make LH so not trade as range and it not reach the trendline support 1H of weak bull so should wait more )
-Bar 40 : Good long signal bar. Context is small double bottom ,  small stop but it is counternot clear wave, not reach FE 100  so wait
-Bar 50: Two bars reversal short signal. Context is withtrend, break out test and smallstop but it is buy pressure with six consecutive bull bars, no clear ABC so short below bar 50 but scalp a half  

CONTEXT:  Good bar long signal in char 1H and success test MA support 1H but no clear in wave C so some confusion here.  Make higher than bar 29 ( maybe wave 4 down ) so the bear is end. 
- Bar 61 : two bars reversal short signal but overlap. Context is counter but touch FE 161.8% AC and 3 pushes up, clear ABC pattern ( chart 15M)  so short below bar 61
Bar 89: inside bar for long signal.  Context is range trading, bottom of range, clear ABC pattern and smallstop so long above bar 89
- Bar 100: two bars reversal short signal bar . Context is range trading, top of range, clear ABC pattern so short below bar 100
CONTEXT:  Trendline 1H was broken and ABC pattern complete so bear too strong " always in short "

-Bar 121: two bars reversal long signal but overlap. Context is nearly test SP channel line 1H with 3 pushes down but no clear 5 waves and widestop .Try long above bar 121 to test tratergy .( Buy 1/4, 1/2 50%,1/4 61.8%) 
-Bar 134: Good short signal bar with long tail but overlap. Context is bear trend through channel and not touch strong SP, pull back to break out point so this is withtrend entry but ABC pattern not really clear, more buy pressure ( 4 bull bars) and widestop so short below bar 134 
-Bar 138: Two bar reversal short signal bar  but overlap. Context is bear trend through channel and not touch strong SP, pull back so this is withtrend entry, ABC pattern  but not clear wave,  and widestop so wait 
-Bar 157: Two bars reversal short signal bar.Context is withtrend,pullback break out point with clear ABC pattern, clear 5 waves in C  but it break channel and widestop so short below bar 157
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EU 19/11/2015

9:04 PM |

CONTEXT: strong bull with price above MA 1H,15M with MA slope up so "always in long" 

-Bar 36: inside doji bar for long. Context is withtrend entry, break out test success , small double bottom , ABC pattern but break down small channel. Long above bar 36
-Bar 46: Good short signal bar with long tail . Context is counter entry, not clear pattern, break up down trendline and very widestop so wait

-Bar 64: good small bar with bull body and long tail. Context is clear ABC pattern in pullback , FE 100% AC and test break out point , withtrend entry but not clear wave in C and small break trendline  so long above bar 64.
-Bar 95: good long signal bar with long tail but some overlap. Context is withtrend entry,ABC pattern, first touch MA 15, small stop but some not clear wave in C so long above bar 95
-Bar 98: good short signal bar with bear body but some overlap. Context is counter, uptrend not touch target but it is break out test and small stop so wait 
-Bar 100: good short signal bar again with bear body but some overlap. Context is counter, uptrend not touch target but it is break out test and small stop  and small double top so short below bar 100  

-Bar 119: two bars reversal short signal. Context is withtrend, ABC pattern, break FE 161.8%, but just touch channel line   and widestop so wait.
-Bar 126: small bull bar long signal but overlap .Context is 5 wave in C test FE 161.8% , support MA 1H, trendline 1H, but it is counter and wave 5 not clearly so buy above bar 126
-Bar 127: outside bar buy signal againContext is 5 wave in C test FE 161.8% , support MA 1Htrendline 1H, but it is counter and wave 5 not clearly , widestop so buy above bar 127
- Bar 140: two bars reversal short signal. Context is ABC pattern, FB 61.8% but it is no clear wave in C and widestop so wait
- Bar 145: two bars reversal long signal. Context is no clear ABC pattern so wait
- Bar 170: two bars reversal short signal but overlap. Context is big range, top of big range, clearly ABC pattern with FE 100% AC and clear 5 wave in C but widestop so short below bar 170 





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EU 18/11/2015

6:25 PM |

CONTEXT:  Three bearish daily bars confirm the bear trend and not touch any targets or strong support

Bar 49:  good bull signal bar near the bottom of range , ABC pattern but not clear wave so wait
Bar 59: small bar long signal bar near the bottom of range , ABC pattern but not clear wave, double bottom and very small stoploss so long above bar 59
Bar 66: good bar long signal bar,bottom of range , ABC pattern , FE 100% , wedge last wave and very small stoploss so long above bar 66
Bar 73: good bar short signal bar but overlap. Context is short near bottom of range, first touch MA chart 15M so wait 
Bar 76: 2ND entry two bars long signal but overlap, context is DB and price make HH before. Study this case
Bar 88: good small bar short signal bar but overlap with previous bar . Context is it touch MA 1H, RT of bar 29 but is is a counter entry and price just break the bear channel line before and not clear wave ABC so not short entry here but can take profit hafl or full here.
Bar 88: short signal bar but bullbody. Context is small DT but counter entry and not touch RS so wait
Bar 99: long signal bar with long tail but bear body and overlap. Context is withtrend entry ,MA 5 support only so not goog signal bar and context is weak support so wait

Bar 111: signal bar with long tail but bear body, context is withtrend entry, retest low success, ABC pattern, MA 15 first time , some disadvantge is it break channel and some widestop   so this context is good ang long above bar 111
Bar 117: two bars reversal short signal . Context is double top of big range, fail BO but not reach any FE target and some widestop , not complete ABC pattern so not good for range entry
Bar 126: good doji short signal. Context is it touch FE 161.8% , small stoploss but  counter entry, lack of wave in C, break strong resistant so wait
Bar 139: very good  short signal bar with long tail, bear body . Context is 5 clear wave in C ( wave 5 extendtion FE 100%) , touch strong resistant MA 4h and strong horizon RS but it still a counter entry ,and break FE 161.8% so not ABC pattern .  Short below bar 139 but scalp. Wait for long withtrend entry
Bar 158: good signal long bar. Context is price break FE 161.8% ABC so count 123 and wait to buy end wave 4, but price retrace to FB 50% so not wave 4 and this trade maybe counter trade with no clear ABC pattern and not reach any strong support  so this trade not good entry


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EU 17/11/2015

7:50 PM |

CONTEXT: STRONG BEAR MOVE, IN WAVE 5 DOWN


-Bar 20: small bar short signal in range, DT, ABC pattern, TOP of range, small stoploss. Good for short below bar 20
-Bar 50: 2nd entry short signal in range,Top of range, fail break out , small stoploss .Study this case
-Bar 55: two bars reversal buy signal in range, bottom of range, fail break out , ABC pattern, but wide stoploss so not entry for range 
-Bar 66:good buy signal bar in range, bottom of range, fail break out , not ABC pattern,  wide stoploss so not entry for range 
-Bar 100: 2nd entry buy signal in range,bottom of range, fail break out , small stoploss .Study this case
-Bar 109: Good sell signal bar, ABC pattern, although not touch the Top channel but nearly and have small stoploss so can Short below bar 109
-Bar 109Good sell signal bar, ABC pattern, although not touch the Top channel but nearly and have small stoploss so can Short below bar 109


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EU 16/11/2015

5:07 PM |

CONTEXT: Big GAP openning so bear may return

-Bar 28: good short signal bar but overlap, context two leg pullback after bear down ( but MA 15 still contract so momentunt is not the best), price retrace to FB 38.2% indicate the bear pressure is not strong, no clear resistant. Wide stoploss if entry  so wait
-Bar 30: good short signal bar again after fail test high make a small double TOP and make the resistant better now, small stoploss for this entry so short below bar 30        
-Bar 39: good short signal bar with tail and bear body at TOP at range, fail BO, ABC pattern in 1M, smallstop VS range. Short below bar 39    
-Bar 49: Two bar long signal bars at bottom of range, ABC pattern but widestop VS range so wait , if long small and scalp only 

-Bar 105: 2 bar reversal long signal , BT pull back after successfu break out , chart 5,15M show bull trend but 1H still below MA20, not reach any target of ABC pattern FE 100-161.8, more buy pressure like strong bull bar and many bear bar correct. Need more study this case
-Bar 111: hammer reversal long signal , BT pull back after successfu break out againt , chart 5,15M show bull trend but 1H still below MA20, not reach any target of ABC pattern FE 100-161.8, more buy pressure like strong bull bar and many bear bar correct. Need more study this case
-Bar 114-115: good sell signal bar, ABC pattern, FE 100% but 5 wave in C not really clear with wave 4 too short in time ( may be alternative with 2) . Short below  bar 115  
-Bar 121: good sell signal bar,small DT,  ABC pattern, FE 100% , 5 wave in C  . Short below  bar 121 
-Bar 130: good buy signal bar,MA20(15) first test but no clear trend now , it break bull trend line so if long is scalp only
-Bar 144: good sell signal bar but overlap,small ABC pattern but not reach target A=C, break out test, widestop loss so the context is not the best, wait more
-Bar 146: good small sell signal bar , double TOP,small ABC pattern but not reach target A=C, break out test, small stoploss so the context is ok to short below bar 146

  
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EU 13/11/2015

4:51 PM |

CONTEXT:
Daily chart is finished pattern with 5 wave down so maybe a correction atleast FB 23.6% . However correction is always too complicated and can hurt you. 


-Bar 57: two bar reversal short signal , maybe small abc pattern but not touch any  resistant and after three strong bull bar good close so context is not good . Wait
-Bar 62:  very good doji bar long signal with long tail below,context is neutral since although the trend is bear but market make one higher high at bar 59 so maybe trading range in short-term and buy at bottom of range is the good context. Long above bar 62.
-Bar 113:   good dragonfly doji  but market can not make high again and test this area the fourth times so it is easy to break than reversal.  
-Bar 117: break out with good close at bar 116 and pause bar at 117 so good context if short below bar 117 for atleast a scalp . Short below bar 117 for a scalp


-Bar 127: good shooting star short signal bar at FB 61.8% from bar 89 but first signal  after six consecutive bull bar ( not like abc correct in 1 minute) and good spinning bar in chart 15M,1H so this context is not good for short
-Bar 129: shooting star short signal bar at FB 61.8% from bar 89 again (some overlap ) and bar 127, bar 128 show the bear pressure with long tail above , it is also touch RS at MA 15M  so we have good context for atleast a scalp. Short below bar 129 for a scalp  
-Bar 152: two bar reversal long signal bar (overlap but make higher in 15M), good context by touch channel line bar and may be ABC pattern with 5 wave in C and end of big correcttion so the reward will big. Long above bar 152
-Bar 163: two bar reversal long signal bar, double bottom (good small bar in 15M), good context by touch channel line bar and may be ABC pattern with 5 wave in C and end of big correcttion so the reward will bigLong above bar 163
-Bar 182: short signal bar at FB 61.8% .Short below bar 182 ( fail since bull trend still strong, not clear wave so context is not good for counter, counter need very strong context) 
-Bar 184: very good short signal bar again with very long tail above show the sell pressure is tronger, chart 15 M  good bar with long tail above and close below mid point .Short below bar 184 

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EU 12/11/2015

5:06 PM |

-CONTEXT:  Bull trend end of yesterday changed the wave count so we maybe in wave 4 now 






- Bar 42: small bar after buy climaxe but it is wave 3 (small) , not reach any resistant, target for wave 4 low so wait
- Bar 46: two big bars revesal but wave 4 retrace 61.8% wave 3 so wave 5 may fail, and widestop so wait
- Bar 65:  two bar reversal short signal but it is maybe 3 wave down ABC ending so wait
Bar 88:  small bull bar after big bear bar, maybe end of wave 1 from break triagle so can  long scalp for wave 2  
- Bar 92: short signal but doji and overlap so wait  

- Bar 106: two bar reversal short signal, double top, wave c of ABC pattern. Short below bar 106
- Bar 138: small bar short signal, test break out point, FB 61.8% form bar 106 . Short below bar 138
- Bar 143: good hanging man buy signal, FB 61.8% from bar 130. Long above bar 143

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EU 11/11/2015

6:20 PM |

-CONTEXT:  The weak bull in yesterday's end day maybe a correction wave 4  



- Bar 29:  inside bar, 3 rd push of wave C in ABC, FE 100% . Short below bar 29
- Bar 51:  bar with long tail, maybe push 3 of wave C in ABC, no clear RS but low stop. Short below bar 51
- Bar 71: small bar after long bar buy climaxe, clear wave 5th , FE 61.8% ( wave 3/5). Short below bar 71 


- Bar 94: Strong bear from 71-90 break trend line of C wave so " always in short ". Bar 95 good signal bar after 
retest right shoulder of H & S pattern so short below bar 94  
- Bar 112: good hammer signal bar, push 3rd ABC pattern, reach target of H& S but wide stop vs MA and " always in short " mode so wait  ( Good if small scalp this case )
- Bar 119: two leg pullback test break out point at neckline of H &S pattern, good  signal bar with long tail, overlap but good context,"always in short mode " so short bellow bar 119.
- Bar 123: two leg pullback C=A ,FB 61.8%, good  signal bar with long tail,"always in short mode " so short bellow bar 123.

- Bar 140: 5 wave in wave C ( chart 1M), top of range, very good signal bar so short below bar 140


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EU 10/09/2015

5:14 PM |

-CONTEXT:  The wave 4 form as WXYXZ  and maybe end  yesterday so the bear maybe resume soon today


Bar 39: Two bars reversal signal but after five bull bar and only 1st push up so wait
Bar 44: small bar after big bar and hammer but only 2 push down of wave c ( small wave) so still wait


Bar 143: bar 136 make new low confirm the correction wave 2 has ended so "always in short" from now, bar 143 two bars reversal signal  but after four bull bars is not a good context so wait
Bar 148: , small bear bar after big bar, double Top in " always in short " mode, low stop so short below bar 148.
Bar 172:  good signal bar but overlap with three bars before.
Bar 176:  small doji bar after big bar, " always in short " mode, low stop so short below bar 176.
Bar 184: two bar reversal pullback after strong break out wave 3 ( after wave 1212), strong bear mode  short below bar 184.
Bar 193: two leg pullback to MA, break out test,small  double top  in " always in short " mode, so short below bar 193.




     


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EU-09/11/2015

4:52 PM |

-CONTEXT:  After a very strong bear down the market sideway in very small range like a triagle . Elliott wave maybe wave 4 so maybe today continue a bear day but maybe bounce soon 

Bar 29: good signal bar after test upper channel of triagle , it is always a push 3rd so short below bar 29.
Bar 47: bull break the upper channel of the triagle and make HH so it could be wave C of 4  . This signal bar is  in push 2rd from bar 36 in a weak bull trend so cannot short for only one reason, counter need strong signal .  
Bar 53: small double TOP, bear bar with long tail upper but overlap with previous bar  , not clearly a push 3rd from bar 36 so still wait .
Bar 57: small bear bar after long bull bar ( buy climaxe ), it is also the 3rd push from bar 36 but it is still bull trend so if  short below bar 75 trade small and only  for a scalp.   
Bar 62:  a bar with long tail upper not a best reversal signal but it is closed below the midpoint and after hit target C=A , also maybe wave 3 of C from bar 15 so can short small for the correction wave 4 .
Bar 81:  Good signal bar for short , maybe Top of wave b of 4 ,double TOP, but too overlap and widestop if short below so wait
Bar 95:  doji, push 3rd of wave c of 4, double bottom in range, maybe in wave 5 .   Long above bar 95
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Bar 125:  doji with long upper tail at TOP of range make by bar 119, triple TOP,low risk , but still now it is counter so if short below for scalp only
Bar 129:  small bear bar after big bull bar in push 3rd in wave 5 of C  from bar 112, touch strong resistant at Fibo 38.2 of wave 3 ( big wave down) so it is very strong signal to short . Swing short below bar 129.
Bar 153:  the high of bar 129 is not the end of wave C of 4 and the pattern change to WXYXZ . Small bear bar when touch other resistant at FE 161.8% but it is push 2nd from bar 133 ( wave c of Z )so wait the signal in push 3 rd   
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EU 06/11/2015

6:07 PM |

-CONTEXT:  Yesterday is a small bull bar with long tail below so daily chart may be the end of 3 pushes down. Normally after 3 pushes will lead to a big correction or reversal so today maybe a bull day. Chart 1H is not clear pattern,  many bars with big body and long tail two side may lead to a trading range day so sell high, buy low and scalp.

- Bar 30: two bars reversal after  ABC pattern with 3 pushes in C, nearly test high of OB bar 1H so maybe top of range. Short below bar 30.
- Bar 34: in the midle of range, bear body and big bar so not a good entry, risk is too high vs profit.
- Bar 44: two bars reversal in a small weak bull but near the top of range and maybe push 3rd so if buy also scalp.
- Bar 51: break down bardwide from bar 46, small DT, 3 push wave C, nearly test TOP of range . Many reasons for bear so short . ( This case need wait close bar to confirm break out )
- Bar 55:  small bear bar after big bar break TOP of range and also may be push 3rd so short below bar54 
- Bar 58:  It is break out success and break out test so trade like strong bull . Long above previous high of bar 53 ( this case also maybe push 3rd and it only break slightly, break out only trade after of ABC reversal complete system)
- Bar 68:  after strong big bear bar break down 63-64 so ABC complete at bar 62. Short below bar 64 ( this case some worries that bar 64 is a good signal for long and this is big bar so short at bar 68 is a short of break a range with 80% false)   
- Bar 73:  small bear bar after retest BT and after ABC complete. Short below bar 72

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OUT OF OFFICE TO BAR 110

-Bar 107: Good signal bar at  minnor 1H support OB bar but this is only push 2 from B so wait 
-Bar 109: 2 bars reversal signal  but price break SP OB 1H so bear so strong and push 2 only and OB bar not a good for revesal.
-Bar 116: Good signal bar but trend from 109-115 break MA, trend line,previous low so show strong maybe leg 1. The risk is 6 pips vs  max reward 8 pips so wait the leg 2 is better
-Bar 130: Good signal bar, H2 but ovelaps and risk too wide
-Bar 150: W,BW, abc pattern with 3 pushes, test LOD. Bar 148-149 is BO&FL so buy break out 149.

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